Archive for September, 2007
Handling Trading Gaps
September 29, 2007 5:59 amIn reference to our last article on trailing stops I was asked:
A quick question on stop losses. What does one do when the stock you are long on, opens down with a huge downward gap the next morning?
For eg : Your stop loss if trigerred will give you a loss of $ 1 only, but the gap down open did not give you a chance to square off. If squared off after the open will result in $ 5 loss which is 5 times the initial stop loss.
Your stop losses are trigerred, yet you don’t want to sell because you think it is only a knee jerk reaction and markets would recover soon.
What does one do in such a situation? Square off saying – stick to the rules or is there another way out.
This becomes a personal decision on how you want to handle those situations.
You see there is no “right” answer, let me explain…
If the day the stock opens gapping down, and you decide to sell, then by the close of the day the stock manages to close the gap, you’ll figure “Hey, I should have just held that and I wouldn’t have incurred this $5 loss.”
So next time you decide to wait for the stock to close the gap instead of selling at the open. But this time when the stock gaps down instead of closing the gap it continues going down creating a bigger loss.
The fact is you only know the absolute correct course of action AFTER the fact. Now you can do your best to analyze the situation by reading intraday charts, and weighing the likelihood of both scenarios, but in the end you can only analyze so much.
I’ve seen it time and time again traders constantly floping back and forth in these type of scenarios feeling the market just has it in for them… “Last time the market closed the gap, this time it didn’t… I just can’t win!?!”
This is what you want to avoid. The market has nothing against you… it doesn’t know you… it doesn’t care about you.
The key here is to maintain your sanity, and I believe the best way to do that is to choose a single course of action and stick with it. One way or the other you’ll maintain your trading composure.
Categories: Trading
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Protecting Profits with Trailing Stops
September 27, 2007 7:30 amThis article will provide you with a systematic way you can make use of trailing stops, or “stop lossâ€, orders for your trading positions, in any market you trade. It was contributed by a fellow trader who believes this to be the best possible use of trailing stops.
One of the most important aspects of successful trading or investing is the proper use of “stop loss†orders. Once you have established a profitable trade, you want to use stop orders to both maximize trading profits, and minimize risk of loss in the event of a market reversal.
Fortunately, the management of stops is fairly simple, and requires very little effort to execute properly – the main point to remember is that you want to strike a balance between maintaining/maximizing profit and minimizing potential loss.
Here are some guidelines for managing the perfect trailing stop:
- For a buy, or “longâ€, position, your initial stop-loss order should be placed one or two ticks below the existing low price for the previous 10 trading days at the time your order is filled and you establish a position in the market. (If selling short, then the stop is placed one or two ticks above the 10-day high.) Normal market fluctuation often retraces prices over the ground they have covered in the preceding week or two of trading – however, if your decision to buy a market is correct, then the market should not establish a new 2-week or 10-day low. If it does, it is very likely that the trade is ill-timed, and best abandoned.
- This is the basic “rule of thumb†for a trailing stop: If long, adjust the stop order as necessary to maintain a stop-loss order just below the previous 10-trading-days’ low; if short, maintain the stop day-to-day just above the 10-day market high.
- Always take, or closely protect, windfall profits. Specifically, if the market moves dramatically in your favor for two or more days consecutively (“dramatically†is roughly defined as including the equivalent of at least one limit-up day in futures trading, or an increase in price of at least 33% in stock trading). In this event, your stop order should be moved so as to insure a profit of at least half of any dramatic market move in your favor. For example: You are long cotton, and cotton prices surge 400-500 points over a 3-day period – at this point, your stop should be moved up to within 200-250 points of the recent market high. If you aren’t stopped out, it should remain at that level until the basic stop rule outlined in (1) and (2) above would require moving it to a higher level…then you would simply return to using that basic trailing stop guideline.
- If you are stopped out of a position, but remain convinced that the market will move significantly in the direction of your original trade, you should only re-enter the market if and when the market makes a new 10-day high (or low, if selling short) – at that point, once again initiate a stop-loss order just outside the existing 10-day trading range.
That’s really all there is to running a perfect trailing stop. Follow these simple guidelines in stock trading or futures trading to realize maximum profits from winning trades, while keeping any losses small, manageable, and relatively painless.
Categories: Trading
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This article will provide you with a systematic way you can make use of trailing stops, or “stop lossâ€, orders for your trading positions, in any market you trade. It was contributed by a fellow trader who believes this to be the best possible use of trailing stops.
One of the most important aspects of successful trading or investing is the proper use of “stop loss†orders. Once you have established a profitable trade, you want to use stop orders to both maximize trading profits, and minimize risk of loss in the event of a market reversal.
Fortunately, the management of stops is fairly simple, and requires very little effort to execute properly – the main point to remember is that you want to strike a balance between maintaining/maximizing profit and minimizing potential loss.
Here are some guidelines for managing the perfect trailing stop:
- For a buy, or “longâ€, position, your initial stop-loss order should be placed one or two ticks below the existing low price for the previous 10 trading days at the time your order is filled and you establish a position in the market. (If selling short, then the stop is placed one or two ticks above the 10-day high.) Normal market fluctuation often retraces prices over the ground they have covered in the preceding week or two of trading – however, if your decision to buy a market is correct, then the market should not establish a new 2-week or 10-day low. If it does, it is very likely that the trade is ill-timed, and best abandoned.
- This is the basic “rule of thumb†for a trailing stop: If long, adjust the stop order as necessary to maintain a stop-loss order just below the previous 10-trading-days’ low; if short, maintain the stop day-to-day just above the 10-day market high.
- Always take, or closely protect, windfall profits. Specifically, if the market moves dramatically in your favor for two or more days consecutively (“dramatically†is roughly defined as including the equivalent of at least one limit-up day in futures trading, or an increase in price of at least 33% in stock trading). In this event, your stop order should be moved so as to insure a profit of at least half of any dramatic market move in your favor. For example: You are long cotton, and cotton prices surge 400-500 points over a 3-day period – at this point, your stop should be moved up to within 200-250 points of the recent market high. If you aren’t stopped out, it should remain at that level until the basic stop rule outlined in (1) and (2) above would require moving it to a higher level…then you would simply return to using that basic trailing stop guideline.
- If you are stopped out of a position, but remain convinced that the market will move significantly in the direction of your original trade, you should only re-enter the market if and when the market makes a new 10-day high (or low, if selling short) – at that point, once again initiate a stop-loss order just outside the existing 10-day trading range.
That’s really all there is to running a perfect trailing stop. Follow these simple guidelines in stock trading or futures trading to realize maximum profits from winning trades, while keeping any losses small, manageable, and relatively painless.
Categories: Trading
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55 Page Forex Q&A – Instant Access…
September 4, 2007 9:43 pmToday Bill Poulos released a new report covering the common questions he received with respect to forex trading.
Click here to grab that 55 Page Report
Ray
P.S. I’m interested in hearing your thoughts. Let me know…
- Did you find the Q&A helpful?
- Do you have any additional questions that weren’t covered by the report?
- Any comments?
Feel free to send your feedback as a comment to this post in the section below.
Categories: Trading
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